This is 17 messages in 18 days Think that showed on Saturday So will be dropping a day soon Probably on Monday or Tuesday
No official Bet
Small fields make it difficult To know what to expect today Not going to suggest any bets Just leaving it as 4 selections For anyone wanting an interest
Saturday's Summary
Message turned sour yesterday Started out with nine previews Two of these were non runners Harry Senior bolted beforehand Got withdrawn out at the start The unraced filly in the seller Did not run leaving 7 previews These 7 finished L W L L L L P
BOBO MAC was an account bet Held up to help get the distance Looked to me like he didn't stay But he didn't cope with the race The pace quickened he did not Our one single winner odds on Shows how the bets struggled No excuses just didn't fair well Looking back since last Sunday There have been 21 Previews 10 Winners 6 Losers 5 Placing Been consistent and in control Saturday is one different animal This particular one had us beat
PROFILES & PREVIEWS
Kelso 12.50
5/2 Aloomomo, 4/1 Mah Mate Bob, 5/1 Mr McGo 7/1 Up Helly Aa King, 8/1 Charlie Snow Angel 9/1 Tanarpino, Well Above Par, 20/1 Ash Park 20/1 Knocknamona.
Handicap Chase 2m 5f
ALOOMOMO may be unsafe Can see why he is favourite His 2018 form does win this race But that was a long time ago It was for a different stable He's raced just once since 2018 Similar race results suggest Becuse he has 14 chase runs May need another run this year
UP HELLY AA KING has 2 chase runs He has also raced once this season Want more recent runs than that ASH PARK is a 12yo with an absence KNOCKNAMONA is short of class CHARLIE SNOW ANGEL is an 11yo On a hat trick but career high mark
One of the topweights can win TANARPINO has 1st weight here Decided not to risk him with 12st Party as he has a months absence But mainly his best numbers All came on good or faster ground WELL ABOVE PAR has a chance
MAH MATE BOB is drifting a bit Understandable going up in class But on his Racing Post Ratings His last run was his career best Going to make him a saver bet MR MCGO the number 1 choice Producing the best last time figure
Selection
£8.50 Win Bet MR MCGO 7/2
£1.50 Win Bet MAH MATE BOB 11/2
Southwell 1.45
11/4 Jazz Hands, Silverturnstogold 3/1 Directory, 4/1 Robero, 10/1 Sea Fox 14/1 Momtalik.
8f Handicap
Small field
Topweight and bottomweight May be the best strategy here
DIRECTORY is topweight JAZZ HANDS is bottomweight
Both have one thing in common On their Racing Post Ratings They did career bests last time
DIRECTORY has to be a positive With a career best just 5 days ago Shortest absence class horse
JAZZ HANDS is bottomweight Exposed 4 year old with 22 runs Career best R.Post Rating only 69 I was initially sceptical about him Feeling he may lack the class here
But when you think about it His last 2 runs were career bests He has just seemed to come right He has recent runs and momentum And gets 18lbs off the topweight
I am shortlist both May not be a two horse race But felt they had most positives
SEA FOX has no form here before Has had 2 regressive runs in a row ROBERO the oldest horse aged 8
SILVERTURNSGOLD is up in trip He is the only horse doing this He also has a 44 day absence All his rivals run within 2 weeks Hoping thats enough to beat him Playing the race this way
MYMILAN has been gambled He is a strongly backed favourite Clearly better is expected from him And no surprise if he does win this But he fails the following statistic
January and February Handicap Chases Run over 2m 7f + Any Class of race Horses from 2m chases Have a 0-71 record in them MYMILAN shares this profile
MYMILAN only has 1 Chase run He won on his chasing debut
Doubts were raised about the race They jumped only 5 fences that day Some taken out because of low sun
Going to oppose him Because he fails this 0-71 stat Not there are many safe alternatives
PURCELLS BEIDGE is 13 years old His jockey has a 0-62 career record He does not look nearly safe enough LOWANBEHOLD another 13 year old Very exposed and an unlikely winner MULTIPEDE pulled up last time out Clearly suffered from the bounce Hard to know what to expect here May win but not a safe each way bet
CLASSIC MILANO has topweight Fully effective in these races Despite unseating last time over 4f I can match him to one winner But topweight and an absence Gives him a lot to prove in this
KATALYSTIC is a 9yo Unexposed with excuses last time Don't like the combination much Having 78 days off and a big weight
KINGS ECLIPSE wins on 2018 form But from a small low scoring stable It's asking him a lot on current form For him to defy a rating of 100 here
Shortlist
WESTEND THEATRE won last time Bottomweight in a similar handicap No particular reason why he can't win Not particularly rich in Class But hard to argue he is not well treated
Selection
WESTEND THEATRE 11/2 - 6/1
Each Way
Southwell 2.50
9/4 Oblate, 11/4 Motahassen, 3/1 Fox Shinji 6/1 Baron Run, 10/1 French Twist, 12/1 Velvet Vision 33/1 Tavener.
8f Handicap
There are only 2 horses That I could shortlist here These are the topweights
MOTAHASSEN OBLATE
The rest have flaws
TAVENER is outclassed FRENCH TWIST is running slow
FOX SHINJI only has 4 runs Looked at all similar 8f races Horses aged 4 Under 4 career starts Have a 1-41 record in them That winner was absent 7 days FOX SHINJI has 83 days off Not for me coming up from 6f BARON RUN a 10yo absent 246 days
VELVET VISION a filly down 4f Has plenty to prove doing that New trainer and has been backed So perhaps She could be a threat Her profile is very beatable though
MOTAHASSEN is a positive Clearly bounced on his last run OBLATE is a 4 year old filly Ran both individual profiles MOTAHASSEN a marginal edge
Selection
Small Stakes
MOTAHASSEN 5/2
Win Bet
FUTURE BETTING ANGLES
Cheltenham
Albert Bartlett Statistics today
Next day there is a message Will have a play with the race See if anything is interesting
Road to Cheltenham
Lydia Hislop
This is a video series On the Racingtv.com website Lydia Hislop alongside a guest Usually one of the big jockeys
This was recommended to me It is getting some rave reviews Can help but agree about them
What a wife Lydia would make The first thing in the morning The last thing before bedtime She would be talking Racing
The latest guest Paddy Mullins So engaging and full of insight Some of the content this week Was about the Champion Hurdle
When asked The Willie Mullins pecking order
KLASSICAL DREAM No 1 if soft SHARJAH No 1 if good or better SALDIER he is still unclear about Could yet be the best or worst
He was refreshingly direct too PENTLAND HILLS he dismissed Does not want to bet a 5 year old Does not think his form is enough Feel the same about him myself
Beautiful Bet 3
Tottenham 0-1 Liverpool
Liverpool ever reliable Came good again yesterday
Manchester City in action today When playing away at Aston Villa Feel we badly need this victory
What victory could mean today We would just be 2 games away From getting back all our losses It could all come to next Sunday Liverpool home to Man United
If we manage to get stakes back It might be a good time to bail out We will soon be entering the time When Liverpool seal the League They will not need to win games Intensity will inevitably drop then Players will no doubt be rested Manchester City will do the same Prioritising the Champions League
I had far great ambitions with this Than to just get our stakes back But if an opportunity comes along To call stumps and refund losses This may be a perfect time to stop
Ante Post
Newbury February 8th
Betfair Hurdle
Not So Sleepy 7/1 Eldorado Allen 8/1 Buildmeupbuttercup 12/1 Fred 12/1 Highly Prized 12/1 Thebannerkingrebel 12/1 Tiger Tap Tap 12/1 Janidil 14/1 Mack The Man 14/1 Mill Green 14/1 Bullionaire 16/1 Ciel De Neige 16/1 Fusil Raffles 16/1 Lightly Squeeze 16/1 Never Adapt 16/1 Pic D'orhy 16/1 Stolen Silver 16/1 Aramon 20/1 Countister 20/1 Flegmatik 20/1 Gumball 20/1 Harambe 20/1 Howling Milan 20/1 Monsieur Lecoq 20/1 Neff 20/1 Pacify 20/1 Pentland Hills 20/1 Quoi de Neuf 20/1 Sceau Royal 20/1 Sir Valentine 20/1 Eglantine du Seuil 25/1 Ecco 25/1 Elgin 25/1 Elixir de Nutz 25/1 Miranda 25/1 Oakley 25/1 Saglawy 25/1 Sofia's Rock 25/1 Vienna Court 25/1 Tamaroc Du Mathan 25/1 The Con Man 25/1 Chti Balko 25/1 Whoshotthesheriff 25/1 Didtheyleaveuoutto 33/1 Distingo 33/1 Mister Blue Sky 33/1 Touchthesoul 33/1 Antunes 40/1 Magic Dancer 40/1 Nelson River 40/1 Prudhomme 40/1 Zanza 40/1 Aiguille Rouge 50/1 Colonel Custard 50/1 Remiluc 50/1 Logan Rocks 66/1
First early look at this race
Ante Post Favourite
NOT SO SLEEPY 7/1
Mentioned him recently Possible Champion Hurdle outsider But this is an entirely different test And he fails a powerful age statistic
Horses aged 7 or more Have a 0-103 record since 2005
The last 13 winners Were aged either 5 or 6 years old
NOT SO SLEEPY is an 8 year old
Two fancied in the ante post market Who fail the same 0-103 age statistics
THEBANNERKINGREBEL HIGHLY PRIZED
Recent winners hurdle runs 3 6 3 3 3 3 8 10 4
Horses with over 10 hurdle runs Have a 0-66 record since 2005
Those aged 5-6 failing this are Monsieur Lecoq 12 hurdle runs Gumball 14 hurdle runs
Limited right now To what I can do in this race As there is plenty of time still For horses to have another race I wont be selecting any horse Who has only had 1 run this season But no point listing those horses now As they could run again beforehand
PENTLAND HILLS looks unsafe He will end up with a big weight No 5yo has won rated as high as him Even if he runs which I would doubt
The Most recent winners Had the following Official Ratings
141 131 135 137 132 134 149 151 134 135
I would question the horses Who are rated under 130 right now Who may well lack the required class
Some of the more interesting horses
ELDORADO ALLEN 8/1
He needs another run this year And horses from handicap hurdles Have a bad record aside from last year
BUILDMEUPBUTTERCUP 12/1
Another from a Handicap Hurdle My worry would be not running Willie Mullins has a low profile Since 2005 He is 0-13 in the race I don't see him as a safe trainer
TIGER TAP TAP from the same yard Probably wont run or be selected JANIDIL another Mullins runner Who may not even be going here CIEL DE NEIGE is also from Mullins You'd have to be sure he will race
MAC THE MAN is on a hat trick But not sure you want any horse In this race with 2 handicap wins Especially not from a big stable
FUSIL RAFFLES pulled up last time You'd want him out beforehand Putting up a serious performance
FRED 12/1 could be interesting
Far too much we can not know yet
But the picture will soon be clearer
Cheltenham
March 13th
Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle
Race Statistics
Thyme Hill 5/1 Fury Road 8/1 The Big Breakaway 12/1 Latest Exhibition 12/1 Asterion Forlonge 20/1 Enrilo 20/1 Monkfish 20/1 Longhouse Poet 25/1 Andy Dufresne 33/1 Lord Royal 33/1 Midnight Run 33/1 Redford Road 33/1 Festival D'Ex 25/1 Imperial Alcazar 25/1 Figaroc 33/1
Past winners Number of Hurdle runs 2 4 7 15 6 4 6 3 3 14 4 3 4 3 4
Past winners Number runs that year 2 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 9 4 3 4 3 5
Horses aged 5 Have a weak 2-52 record in this race One of the 5yo winners was lucky The leaders went off far too quickly The other very fit and experienced
The only two winners aged 5 Had 4 and 8 hurdle races Had 4 and 7 runs this season
Only 1 past winner was aged 8
The longest absent winner of this Won back in 2006 with 97 days off That winner (Black Jack Ketchum)
Horses that ran within 26 days Have a 0-35 record in this race
Horses aged 5-6-7 Coming from Non Graded races Have a 0-104 record
Last time out finishing positions Were 2 3 1 2 1 4 2 1 2 3 1 1 2 1 1 Only 1 horse has won this race Beaten over 13 lengths last time He came from a Grade 1 hurdle
Cheltenham Grade 1 Novice Hurdles Every and any distance since 1997 Horses from Handicap Hurdles are 1-103 Those aged 4-5-6-7 are 0-96
He comes from a Grade 1 Hurdle Have a modest 1-24 record in this Horses from Grade 2 hurdles Were better winning 9 past renewals
Comments on Mathematician 3429
Senior Member
Usergroup: Moderators
Joined: Nov 05, 2003
Total Topics: 6449
Total Comments: 15225
Posted Jan 12, 2020 - 03:44 AM:
Mathematician 3429
Sunday January 12th
4 Previews
0 Account Bet
0 Highlighted Bet
No Official Bet
Today's Message
Final message of the week
Last Sunday was excellent
Much of this week was good
Wheels came off on Saturday
No recovery attempts today
Little chance of a bet today
The field sizes are so small
So few races are interesting
Corrupted by so few runners
Kelso 12.50
Southwell 1.45
Kelso 2.30
Southwell 2.50
This is 17 messages in 18 days
Think that showed on Saturday
So will be dropping a day soon
Probably on Monday or Tuesday
No official Bet
Small fields make it difficult
To know what to expect today
Not going to suggest any bets
Just leaving it as 4 selections
For anyone wanting an interest
Saturday's Summary
Message turned sour yesterday
Started out with nine previews
Two of these were non runners
Harry Senior bolted beforehand
Got withdrawn out at the start
The unraced filly in the seller
Did not run leaving 7 previews
These 7 finished L W L L L L P
BOBO MAC was an account bet
Held up to help get the distance
Looked to me like he didn't stay
But he didn't cope with the race
The pace quickened he did not
Our one single winner odds on
Shows how the bets struggled
No excuses just didn't fair well
Looking back since last Sunday
There have been 21 Previews
10 Winners 6 Losers 5 Placing
Been consistent and in control
Saturday is one different animal
This particular one had us beat
PROFILES & PREVIEWS
Kelso 12.50
5/2 Aloomomo, 4/1 Mah Mate Bob, 5/1 Mr McGo
7/1 Up Helly Aa King, 8/1 Charlie Snow Angel
9/1 Tanarpino, Well Above Par, 20/1 Ash Park
20/1 Knocknamona.
Handicap Chase 2m 5f
ALOOMOMO may be unsafe
Can see why he is favourite
His 2018 form does win this race
But that was a long time ago
It was for a different stable
He's raced just once since 2018
Similar race results suggest
Becuse he has 14 chase runs
May need another run this year
UP HELLY AA KING has 2 chase runs
He has also raced once this season
Want more recent runs than that
ASH PARK is a 12yo with an absence
KNOCKNAMONA is short of class
CHARLIE SNOW ANGEL is an 11yo
On a hat trick but career high mark
One of the topweights can win
TANARPINO has 1st weight here
Decided not to risk him with 12st
Party as he has a months absence
But mainly his best numbers
All came on good or faster ground
WELL ABOVE PAR has a chance
MAH MATE BOB is drifting a bit
Understandable going up in class
But on his Racing Post Ratings
His last run was his career best
Going to make him a saver bet
MR MCGO the number 1 choice
Producing the best last time figure
Selection
£8.50 Win Bet MR MCGO 7/2
£1.50 Win Bet MAH MATE BOB 11/2
Southwell 1.45
11/4 Jazz Hands, Silverturnstogold
3/1 Directory, 4/1 Robero, 10/1 Sea Fox
14/1 Momtalik.
8f Handicap
Small field
Topweight and bottomweight
May be the best strategy here
DIRECTORY is topweight
JAZZ HANDS is bottomweight
Both have one thing in common
On their Racing Post Ratings
They did career bests last time
DIRECTORY has to be a positive
With a career best just 5 days ago
Shortest absence class horse
JAZZ HANDS is bottomweight
Exposed 4 year old with 22 runs
Career best R.Post Rating only 69
I was initially sceptical about him
Feeling he may lack the class here
But when you think about it
His last 2 runs were career bests
He has just seemed to come right
He has recent runs and momentum
And gets 18lbs off the topweight
I am shortlist both
May not be a two horse race
But felt they had most positives
SEA FOX has no form here before
Has had 2 regressive runs in a row
ROBERO the oldest horse aged 8
SILVERTURNSGOLD is up in trip
He is the only horse doing this
He also has a 44 day absence
All his rivals run within 2 weeks
Hoping thats enough to beat him
Playing the race this way
Selection
£7 Win Bet JAZZ HANDS 11/4
£3 Win Bet DIRECTORY 5/2
Kelso 2.30
5/4 Mymilan, 8/1 Kings Eclipse
8/1 Lowanbehold 9/1 Multipede, Purcell's Bridge
10/1 Classical Milano, Katalystic, Westend Theatre
Handicap Chase 2m 7f
MYMILAN has been gambled
He is a strongly backed favourite
Clearly better is expected from him
And no surprise if he does win this
But he fails the following statistic
January and February
Handicap Chases
Run over 2m 7f +
Any Class of race
Horses from 2m chases
Have a 0-71 record in them
MYMILAN shares this profile
MYMILAN only has 1 Chase run
He won on his chasing debut
Doubts were raised about the race
They jumped only 5 fences that day
Some taken out because of low sun
Going to oppose him
Because he fails this 0-71 stat
Not there are many safe alternatives
PURCELLS BEIDGE is 13 years old
His jockey has a 0-62 career record
He does not look nearly safe enough
LOWANBEHOLD another 13 year old
Very exposed and an unlikely winner
MULTIPEDE pulled up last time out
Clearly suffered from the bounce
Hard to know what to expect here
May win but not a safe each way bet
CLASSIC MILANO has topweight
Fully effective in these races
Despite unseating last time over 4f
I can match him to one winner
But topweight and an absence
Gives him a lot to prove in this
KATALYSTIC is a 9yo
Unexposed with excuses last time
Don't like the combination much
Having 78 days off and a big weight
KINGS ECLIPSE wins on 2018 form
But from a small low scoring stable
It's asking him a lot on current form
For him to defy a rating of 100 here
Shortlist
WESTEND THEATRE won last time
Bottomweight in a similar handicap
No particular reason why he can't win
Not particularly rich in Class
But hard to argue he is not well treated
Selection
WESTEND THEATRE 11/2 - 6/1
Each Way
Southwell 2.50
9/4 Oblate, 11/4 Motahassen, 3/1 Fox Shinji
6/1 Baron Run, 10/1 French Twist, 12/1 Velvet Vision
33/1 Tavener.
8f Handicap
There are only 2 horses
That I could shortlist here
These are the topweights
MOTAHASSEN
OBLATE
The rest have flaws
TAVENER is outclassed
FRENCH TWIST is running slow
FOX SHINJI only has 4 runs
Looked at all similar 8f races
Horses aged 4
Under 4 career starts
Have a 1-41 record in them
That winner was absent 7 days
FOX SHINJI has 83 days off
Not for me coming up from 6f
BARON RUN a 10yo absent 246 days
VELVET VISION a filly down 4f
Has plenty to prove doing that
New trainer and has been backed
So perhaps She could be a threat
Her profile is very beatable though
MOTAHASSEN is a positive
Clearly bounced on his last run
OBLATE is a 4 year old filly
Ran both individual profiles
MOTAHASSEN a marginal edge
Selection
Small Stakes
MOTAHASSEN 5/2
Win Bet
FUTURE BETTING ANGLES
Cheltenham
Albert Bartlett Statistics today
Next day there is a message
Will have a play with the race
See if anything is interesting
Road to Cheltenham
Lydia Hislop
This is a video series
On the Racingtv.com website
Lydia Hislop alongside a guest
Usually one of the big jockeys
This was recommended to me
It is getting some rave reviews
Can help but agree about them
What a wife Lydia would make
The first thing in the morning
The last thing before bedtime
She would be talking Racing
The latest guest Paddy Mullins
So engaging and full of insight
Some of the content this week
Was about the Champion Hurdle
When asked
The Willie Mullins pecking order
KLASSICAL DREAM No 1 if soft
SHARJAH No 1 if good or better
SALDIER he is still unclear about
Could yet be the best or worst
He was refreshingly direct too
PENTLAND HILLS he dismissed
Does not want to bet a 5 year old
Does not think his form is enough
Feel the same about him myself
Beautiful Bet 3
Tottenham 0-1 Liverpool
Liverpool ever reliable
Came good again yesterday
Manchester City in action today
When playing away at Aston Villa
Feel we badly need this victory
What victory could mean today
We would just be 2 games away
From getting back all our losses
It could all come to next Sunday
Liverpool home to Man United
If we manage to get stakes back
It might be a good time to bail out
We will soon be entering the time
When Liverpool seal the League
They will not need to win games
Intensity will inevitably drop then
Players will no doubt be rested
Manchester City will do the same
Prioritising the Champions League
I had far great ambitions with this
Than to just get our stakes back
But if an opportunity comes along
To call stumps and refund losses
This may be a perfect time to stop
Ante Post
Newbury February 8th
Betfair Hurdle
Not So Sleepy 7/1 Eldorado Allen 8/1
Buildmeupbuttercup 12/1 Fred 12/1 Highly Prized 12/1
Thebannerkingrebel 12/1 Tiger Tap Tap 12/1 Janidil 14/1
Mack The Man 14/1 Mill Green 14/1 Bullionaire 16/1
Ciel De Neige 16/1 Fusil Raffles 16/1 Lightly Squeeze 16/1
Never Adapt 16/1 Pic D'orhy 16/1 Stolen Silver 16/1
Aramon 20/1 Countister 20/1 Flegmatik 20/1 Gumball 20/1
Harambe 20/1 Howling Milan 20/1 Monsieur Lecoq 20/1
Neff 20/1 Pacify 20/1 Pentland Hills 20/1 Quoi de Neuf 20/1
Sceau Royal 20/1 Sir Valentine 20/1 Eglantine du Seuil 25/1
Ecco 25/1 Elgin 25/1 Elixir de Nutz 25/1 Miranda 25/1
Oakley 25/1 Saglawy 25/1 Sofia's Rock 25/1 Vienna Court 25/1
Tamaroc Du Mathan 25/1 The Con Man 25/1 Chti Balko 25/1
Whoshotthesheriff 25/1 Didtheyleaveuoutto 33/1 Distingo 33/1
Mister Blue Sky 33/1 Touchthesoul 33/1 Antunes 40/1
Magic Dancer 40/1 Nelson River 40/1 Prudhomme 40/1
Zanza 40/1 Aiguille Rouge 50/1 Colonel Custard 50/1
Remiluc 50/1 Logan Rocks 66/1
First early look at this race
Ante Post Favourite
NOT SO SLEEPY 7/1
Mentioned him recently
Possible Champion Hurdle outsider
But this is an entirely different test
And he fails a powerful age statistic
Horses aged 7 or more
Have a 0-103 record since 2005
The last 13 winners
Were aged either 5 or 6 years old
NOT SO SLEEPY is an 8 year old
Two fancied in the ante post market
Who fail the same 0-103 age statistics
THEBANNERKINGREBEL
HIGHLY PRIZED
Recent winners hurdle runs
3 6 3 3 3 3 8 10 4
Horses with over 10 hurdle runs
Have a 0-66 record since 2005
Those aged 5-6 failing this are
Monsieur Lecoq 12 hurdle runs
Gumball 14 hurdle runs
Limited right now
To what I can do in this race
As there is plenty of time still
For horses to have another race
I wont be selecting any horse
Who has only had 1 run this season
But no point listing those horses now
As they could run again beforehand
PENTLAND HILLS looks unsafe
He will end up with a big weight
No 5yo has won rated as high as him
Even if he runs which I would doubt
The Most recent winners
Had the following Official Ratings
141 131 135 137 132 134 149 151 134 135
I would question the horses
Who are rated under 130 right now
Who may well lack the required class
Some of the more interesting horses
ELDORADO ALLEN 8/1
He needs another run this year
And horses from handicap hurdles
Have a bad record aside from last year
BUILDMEUPBUTTERCUP 12/1
Another from a Handicap Hurdle
My worry would be not running
Willie Mullins has a low profile
Since 2005 He is 0-13 in the race
I don't see him as a safe trainer
TIGER TAP TAP from the same yard
Probably wont run or be selected
JANIDIL another Mullins runner
Who may not even be going here
CIEL DE NEIGE is also from Mullins
You'd have to be sure he will race
MAC THE MAN is on a hat trick
But not sure you want any horse
In this race with 2 handicap wins
Especially not from a big stable
FUSIL RAFFLES pulled up last time
You'd want him out beforehand
Putting up a serious performance
FRED 12/1 could be interesting
Far too much we can not know yet
But the picture will soon be clearer
Cheltenham
March 13th
Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle
Race Statistics
Thyme Hill 5/1 Fury Road 8/1 The Big Breakaway 12/1
Latest Exhibition 12/1 Asterion Forlonge 20/1 Enrilo 20/1
Monkfish 20/1 Longhouse Poet 25/1 Andy Dufresne 33/1
Lord Royal 33/1 Midnight Run 33/1 Redford Road 33/1
Festival D'Ex 25/1 Imperial Alcazar 25/1 Figaroc 33/1
Past winners
Number of Hurdle runs
2 4 7 15 6 4 6 3 3 14 4 3 4 3 4
Past winners
Number runs that year
2 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 9 4 3 4 3 5
Combined Hurdle & Bumper runs
3 4 7 17 8 5 8 4 5 15 6 8 8 5 4
Horses aged 5
Have a weak 2-52 record in this race
One of the 5yo winners was lucky
The leaders went off far too quickly
The other very fit and experienced
The only two winners aged 5
Had 4 and 8 hurdle races
Had 4 and 7 runs this season
Only 1 past winner was aged 8
The longest absent winner of this
Won back in 2006 with 97 days off
That winner (Black Jack Ketchum)
Horses that ran within 26 days
Have a 0-35 record in this race
Horses aged 5-6-7
Coming from Non Graded races
Have a 0-104 record
Last time out finishing positions
Were 2 3 1 2 1 4 2 1 2 3 1 1 2 1 1
Only 1 horse has won this race
Beaten over 13 lengths last time
He came from a Grade 1 hurdle
Cheltenham Grade 1 Novice Hurdles
Every and any distance since 1997
Horses from Handicap Hurdles are 1-103
Those aged 4-5-6-7 are 0-96
He comes from a Grade 1 Hurdle
Have a modest 1-24 record in this
Horses from Grade 2 hurdles
Were better winning 9 past renewals
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